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Wednesday, November 5, 2025

Democrats win big on election night — and sidestep an identity crisis

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Heading into Tuesday, there was an expectation that the election results might highlight a growing gulf within the Democratic Party between moderates from purple states and progressives from deep-blue cities.

Instead, the party is emerging from a cascade of victories that likely will, for a time, paper over whatever differences exist within the party.

“Our assignment everywhere is to send the strongest fighters for the working class wherever possible,” Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y., told MSNBC on Tuesday night. “In some places — like Virginia, for the gubernatorial seat — that’s going to look like Abigail Spanberger. In New York City, unequivocally, it’s Zohran Mamdani.”

In the afterglow of Tuesday’s elections, Democrats find themselves emboldened. And the triumphant results offer something of a “choose your own adventure” feel: Everyone across the ideological breadth of the party has reason to feel that their particular electoral approach has been validated.

And that may ultimately forestall the party’s looming ideological intraparty battle.

To supporters of Mamdani, the success of his mayoral bid — buoyed by record high turnout numbers — demonstrated the fundamental core of the democratic socialist’s message: Democrats can win elections by providing ambitious policy proposals around affordability, even if enacting those policies may later prove to be a challenge — an idea Mamdani explicitly endorsed.

“We won because New Yorkers allowed themselves to hope that the impossible could be made possible,” Mamdani said during his victory speech Tuesday night. “This will be an age where New Yorkers expect from their leaders a bold vision of what we will achieve, rather than a list of excuses for what we are too timid to attack.”

Kirsten Allen, a Democratic strategist who’s worked on three presidential campaigns, suggested adaptability, perhaps more than affordability, should be the party’s primary takeaway.

“Democrats secured key victories because each candidate ran a race that reflected and excited their electorate,” Allen told MSNBC. “What propelled Gov.-elect Spanberger to victory in Virginia may not have worked for Mayor-elect Mamdani — and that’s the mark of smart, disciplined campaigning.”

Indeed, if Mamdani’s success was partly fueled by big, bold policy ideas, Spanberger’s victory came from unadulterated pragmatism.

“We sent a message to the whole world that in 2025, Virginia chose pragmatism over partisanship,” Spanberger said during her own victory speech. “We turned that page by listening to our neighbors, focusing on practical results, laying out a clear agenda and leading with decency and determination.”

Democrats nationwide agree that a narrow focus on affordability — a departure from the Biden-era focus on the “soul of the nation” — powered the party’s marquee victories, which included Spanberger, Mamdani and Mikie Sherrill’s gubernatorial win in New Jersey.

Exit polling reinforces that idea. Majorities of voters in all three states cited the economy and cost of living as the most important issues facing their respective states. According to NBC exit polling data, 56% of voters in New York City said the cost of living was their most important issue. In New Jersey’s gubernatorial race, 36% of voters said taxes were the most important issue, followed closely by the economy, at 34%. The economy was also the top concern for 48% of voters in Virginia.

In New York, Mamdani’s narrow focus on affordability — backed by ideas such as a rent freeze and universal childcare — helped him build a “new electorate,” Evan Roth Smith, a pollster and founding partner at Slingshot Strategies, told MSNBC.

“Zohran has given all sorts of young voters in New York something to vote for that assuage their fears about whether they have a future in this city,” said Roth Smith, who has personally known Mamdani for two decades.

Other Mamdani partisans see in his victory proof that their own pet causes are actually popular.

“If you run your campaign saying — and being clear — that you’re going to fight for the working class, you’re going to take on the oligarchs, that the ideas your talking about are not radical — they already exist in many other countries around the world — that’s how you win elections,” Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., told MSNBC.

But the strength of that argument also reveals its weakness: Can Democrats nationwide replicate Mamdani’s victory by embracing leftist, politically challenging policies, in addition to actively challenging Trump? That remains at best uncertain, Smith suggested.

“My hunch is that the ‘Zohran effect’ on the electorate will probably look a lot like the ‘Trump effect’ on the electorate, which is when Zohran is on the ballot, because he is such a unique, charismatic and now superstar of a political figure, there are voters who react to him particularly and will come out when he’s on the ballot,” Roth Smith told MSNBC.

While Mamdani ultimately trounced former Gov. Andrew Cuomo, more moderate Democrats would likely point to exit polling that suggested a majority of New Yorkers — 53% — consider his policy proposals “unrealistic.”

The same logic applies to the debate over which of the Democratic victors tonight — democratic socialist Mamdani or centrists Spanberger and Sherrill — should serve as the party’s new face.

This article was originally published on MSNBC.com

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